Will Jaxson Dart be a Top-10 Pick? Giants, Saints Favored to Take QB in 2025 NFL Draft

Could Jaxson Dart be drafted in the top 10? The rumors are growing louder ahead of the 2025 NFL Draft tonight at 8 p.m. ET (ABC, ESPN, NFL Network) as the Ole Miss QB's draft stock soars heading into the first round.
The latest Jaxson Dart NFL draft odds still have the polarizing passer with an O/U draft position of 24.5, even after CBS Sports reported today that Dart won't fall past No. 9, where the New Orleans Saints currently sit.
Even with the smoke around the Saints, the New York Giants are betting favorites to draft Dart ahead of what should be a wild night (or two) for the 21-year-old quarterback. Here are the latest NFL draft odds and rumors surrounding Dart:
📊 Jaxson Dart NFL draft odds
2025 NFL Draft odds via DraftKings; subject to change.
- Exact draft position (O/U): Over 24.5 (+190) | Under 24.5 (-250)
- To be drafted in the top 5: +950
- To be drafted in the top 10: +250
- To be drafted in 1st round: -500
With an hour left before the first round starts, Dart is arguably the biggest riser in the entire draft with an outside chance of going in the top five.
While he's still plus-money to be drafted in the top 10, the latest NFL draft rumors suggest that he's a virtual lock to be selected no later than No. 9. And the latest odds suggest a nearly 85% chance he'll be drafted in the first round.
Of course, it's hard to trust the swirling rumor mill around draft season - but uncertainty often spells value in the betting market. I've already placed a bet on Dart to go in the top 10 at these +250 odds, which feels like the best bet on the board as the draft nears.
💰 Best bet: Dart to be drafted in the top 10 (+250 via DraftKings)
📈 Latest Jaxson Dart odds
🤔 Who will draft Jaxson Dart?
Latest Jaxson Dart odds via FanDuel; subject to change.
🏈 Team | 💰 Odds | 🔢 Probability |
---|---|---|
Giants | -135 | 57.45% |
Saints | +250 | 28.57% |
Browns | +650 | 13.33% |
Steelers | +850 | 10.53% |
Rams | +1200 | 7.69% |
Seahawks | +1900 | 5.00% |
Jets | +2600 | 3.70% |
Raiders | +3100 | 3.13% |
The Giants have been linked to Dart for a while now, and the latest odds imply a nearly 60% chance that they draft the Ole Miss QB as their future starter.
New York owns the No. 3 overall pick tonight, and while Abdul Carter seems like a lock for that selection, Dart owns the second-shortest odds to be the third player off the board - ranging from +1000 at DraftKings to +1200 at FanDuel.
The likelier outcome is that the Giants trade back into the back half of the first round. But will Dart be available that late?
It's hard to know for certain given all the chatter around the Saints taking him with the ninth pick - a bet that would return a $36 profit on a $10 bet if he does indeed go off the board at No. 9.
To me, it's hard to reconcile the rumors about the Saints drafting Dart ninth with the Giants being the favorites. Maybe that means the New Orleans chatter is entirely smoke and mirrors - it probably is - but I'd still expect the market to respond more aggressively to one of the main storylines of the day.
When it comes to betting on the NFL draft, it's hard to justify minus-odds bets unless you're truly ahead of the news cycle. In this case, it feels like the best NFL betting sites are the ones catching up, so I'll gladly place a (small) wager on the Saints in case the rumors come true.
🔮 Prediction: Saints to draft Jaxson Dart (+250 via FanDuel)
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